Spatial analysis to measure population concentration in Mosul district for the period (2013-2023)

Abstract

A large percentage of the population is considered one of the important and basic topics in a population area because it is a ratio between the population, where they are located, and the reasons for their distribution and their patterns in any area. This distribution is nothing but a product of factors and variables that intersect and develop later, as the population of any area is the result of the interconnection of social factors. And civilization, and that the study of population concentration analysis then explains what changes to the size of the population economically in the advanced stages and readings of the future in the future and provides the basic requirements in order to create a balance between their size and their future needs, The research concluded that there was a decrease in the population growth rate in the Mosul district in 2018, which amounted to (2%), with a population change rate that reached (11.3%) as a result of the security and political conditions that the governorate in general and the center of the Mosul district in particular went through since 2014-2017, and as a result of These conditions include forced migration, disintegration, and dispersion of the population, which negatively affected the growth of the district’s population, but the growth rate rose again to reach a rate of (3%) in 2023, with a change rate of (13.6%). This is due to the return of security conditions to normal and the return of most of the population. To their regions, as the Lorenz curve showed the presence of maldistribution and irregularity in the concentration of population and their concentration in urban city centers.